Record production and less biodiesel blend percentage point to uptick soy product exports by Brazil in 2025, the industry says.
According to the Brazilian Association of Vegetable Oil Industries (Abiove) on April 23, 2025, a bumper soy harvest at 170 million tonnes will push exports.
The tally captures the output of the erstwhile harvest in February 2025, which was promising even during the actual reaping.
In this day of tariffs, Abiove expects the bulk to reach allies like China, Western Asia, Southeast Asia and Europe.
Most of the raw soy legume will land in China while the soymeal bulk will end up in the other destinations.
Sino-Brazil Soy Ties
This latest development comes just a week after a delegation from Brazil landed in Beijing to discuss global trade tariffs.
Since Brazil overtook the United States as the biggest soy exporter to China, it has been cementing its choice supplier role.
The country has a reason to defend its market position due to real time competition threat from the United States. Currently, Iowa’s and Minnesota’s soya farmers are urging the U.S. government to ease tensions with China so as to prop their businesses.
Refined Oil and Biodiesel Break Even
Experts also peg 2025’s export expansion to the governmental decision not to raise the minimum biodiesel blend mixture, thereby increasing soy oil output.
Since capping the mandatory biodiesel blending minimum by soy processors at 14%, the national biofuel capacity has reduced. It has even forced Brazil to import 20% of its fuel needs, mainly petroleum.
Now that surplus soybeans are already killing Brazil’s refined oil prices, the blend minimum could rise to 15% to buoy pricing.
When this happens, the prices of the vegetable oil will break even while fossil fuel imports will reduce.
Together with uptick exports, the combined processing of diverse soy products will boost the total earnings of the sector.
Sky is the limit then for the Brazil soy industry in 2025 as shipments look forward to grow manifold. For more insights on the topic, skim the following statistics on the exports of the country’s leading oilseed.
Brazil Soybean Export Statistics
With production at over 170 million tonnes in 2025, Brazil ranks first worldwide in soybean output. Exports dominate the sector by volume, with 102.357 million tonnes out of this ending up in foreign markets, according to the World Bank. In portioning by product, 80% of the exports are in form of raw beans, 18% as soymeal cake and 2% as soy oil.
Which are the key partners of Brazil’s raw soya bean exports?
The following table arraigns the top 5 export markets based on 2023’s exports, courtesy of the World Bank.
| Country [2023] | Tonnage/Dollar Value |
| China | 74.73 million t/$38.9 billion |
| Argentina | 4.03 million t/$2.1 billion |
| Spain | 2.73 million t/$1.5 billion |
| Thailand | 2.67 million t/$1.4 billion |
| Türkiye | 1.92 million t/$978.4 million |
What is the export share for Brazil in worldwide soy trade?
Brazil controls over half of the world’s soya bean trade or 56.9% , equivalent to $53.9 billion, as of 2023. The United States comes second with a 30% share while Paraguay rounds up the top 3 with a 3.7% share.