{"id":23935,"date":"2025-12-04T09:33:31","date_gmt":"2025-12-04T09:33:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.selinawamucii.com\/news\/?p=23935"},"modified":"2025-12-04T09:33:32","modified_gmt":"2025-12-04T09:33:32","slug":"global-beverage-prices-fall-q3-2025-before-cocoa-coffee-rates-rebound","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.selinawamucii.com\/news\/2025\/12\/04\/global-beverage-prices-fall-q3-2025-before-cocoa-coffee-rates-rebound\/","title":{"rendered":"Global beverage prices fall Q3 2025 before cocoa\/coffee rates rebound"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>International beverage prices lapsed by 10% quarter-to-quarter in Q3 2025 just before global cocoa and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.selinawamucii.com\/coffee\/\"><u>coffee prices<\/u><\/a>&nbsp;recovered. This according to the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.worldbank.org\/en\/opendata\/-beverage-prices-moderate-as-coffee-and-cocoa-supply-recover\"><u>World Bank<\/u><\/a>&nbsp;(WB)\u2019s beverage price index on December 2, 2025.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The report links the fall to a quarterly supply rally in cocoa and coffee that cooled respective prices against stability in tea.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since November, however,&nbsp;coffee&nbsp;and cocoa have enhanced unit valuation, rendering the 10% beverage price dip probably short-lived.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Thus, the World Bank expects international beverage prices to up by 18% annually in 2025 but to retreat by 7% in 2026.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The WB further expects beverage rates to down by 5% annually in 2027, signalling production rallies in tropical raw materials.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Among these is coffee, with Arabica bean rates averaging $9 a kg wholesale in November 2025, 35% up year-on-year (y-o-y).&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The World Bank projects 2025-26 Arabica supplies at 179 million bags, above 2024-25\u2019s 175.4 million bags. This could bring down 2025 prices by 13%, y-o-y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Robusta meanwhile could ease pricing in 2026 by 2% annually as production rallies, eating into current wholesale rates of $5\/kg (November 2025).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-cocoa-prices-rebound\"><strong>Cocoa Prices Rebound &nbsp;<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The same informs cocoa, whose futures in New York finally recovered by 12% weekly on December 2, to&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.barchart.com\/story\/news\/36390536\/cocoa-prices-supported-by-the-outlook-for-tighter-global-supplies\"><u>$5,550 a tonne<\/u><\/a>.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Beforehand in late November 2025, global rates for raw cocoa beans had bottomed out to a 24-month low. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Although only half 2024 highs, the rebounding rate illustrates the rapid market effect of production shifts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The International Cocoa Organization (ICCO) on November 28 lowered 2024-25 global output from 4.84 million tonnes to 4.69 million tonnes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While the down-revision instantly favored market prices, it sent surprise across the board due to some sharp cuts.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The ICCO slashed 2024-25 global&nbsp;cocoa surplus&nbsp;to just 49,000 tonnes from an earlier February 2025\u2019s&nbsp;<a href=\" www.selinawamucii.com\/news\/2025\/03\/13\/cocoa-rates-founder-temporarily-on-icos-surplus\"><u>surplus projection<\/u><\/a>&nbsp;of&nbsp;142,000 tonnes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Production leader Ivory Coast is steering the changing face of cocoa prices partly due to a promising 2025-26 season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Arrivals in Ivorian ports between October 1 and November 30 nevertheless dipped by 2.1% y-o-y, supporting prices for now.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With such production movements in leading global raw material sources, beverage prices will no doubt continue changing. The data section below examines these changes in index terms.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-world-beverage-prices-index-statistics\"><strong>World Beverage Prices Index\u00a0Statistics\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Beverages like coffee, tea and cocoa base their pricing on production and price movements of their respective raw materials. The&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.worldbank.org\/en\/opendata\/-beverage-prices-moderate-as-coffee-and-cocoa-supply-recover\"><u>World Bank<\/u><\/a>, among others, publishes monthly beverage price index to track these changes. In its latest Q3 2025 index on December 2, the WB put the combined index at 10% down quarter-to-quarter. While tea prices stabilized that quarter, those of cocoa and coffee fell.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The index has altered historically as follows, as aggregated from&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/ycharts.com\/indicators\/beverages_index_world_bank\"><u>Y Charts&nbsp;<\/u><\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>Month-and-Year<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Index<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Nov 2025<\/td><td>186.10 points<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Sep 2025<\/td><td>200.17 points<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Feb 2025<\/td><td>240.36 points<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Apr 2024<\/td><td>200.79 points<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Feb 2024<\/td><td>139.13 points<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Nov 2023<\/td><td>115.39 points<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Nov 2022<\/td><td>97.50 points<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Fig:<em>\u00a0global<\/em>\u00a0<em>beverage price index, featuring\u00a0key changes\u00a0from\u00a0November 2022-November 2025<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>International beverage prices lapsed by 10% quarter-to-quarter in Q3 2025 just before global cocoa and&nbsp;coffee prices&nbsp;recovered. This according to the&nbsp;World Bank&nbsp;(WB)\u2019s beverage price index on December 2, 2025.&nbsp; The report links the fall to a quarterly supply rally in cocoa and coffee that cooled respective prices against stability in tea. Since November, however,&nbsp;coffee&nbsp;and cocoa have&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":21655,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v16.3 (Yoast SEO v20.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Global beverage prices fall Q3 2025 before cocoa\/coffee rates rebound - Selina Wamucii | Food &amp; Agriculture News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.selinawamucii.com\/news\/2025\/12\/04\/global-beverage-prices-fall-q3-2025-before-cocoa-coffee-rates-rebound\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Global beverage prices fall Q3 2025 before cocoa\/coffee rates rebound - Selina Wamucii | Food &amp; Agriculture News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"International beverage prices lapsed by 10% quarter-to-quarter in Q3 2025 just before global cocoa and&nbsp;coffee prices&nbsp;recovered. 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