{"id":22765,"date":"2025-07-04T09:59:02","date_gmt":"2025-07-04T09:59:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.selinawamucii.com\/news\/?p=22765"},"modified":"2025-07-04T10:11:52","modified_gmt":"2025-07-04T10:11:52","slug":"india-united-states-free-trade-deal-looms-on-select-agricultural-goods","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.selinawamucii.com\/news\/2025\/07\/04\/india-united-states-free-trade-deal-looms-on-select-agricultural-goods\/","title":{"rendered":"India-United States free trade deal looms on select agricultural goods"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Finalizing India-United States negotiations point to a possible free trade deal on select agricultural goods\u00a0<u><a href=\"https:\/\/www.republicworld.com\/india\/india-us-trade-deal-agriculture-likely-to-be-exempted-from-tariffs-interim-deal-expected-by-july-8\">by July 8, 2025<\/a><\/u>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So far, Delhi has drawn a red line on sensitive agri goods such as dairy, which it won\u2019t concede for free.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, bilateral exchanges keen on exempting certain<a href=\"https:\/\/www.selinawamucii.com\/insights\/prices\/india\/\"><u>\u00a0food produce and products<\/u><\/a>\u00a0had neared a breakthrough by July 4.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sources indicate an interim agreement will hatch before the July 9 expiration of a 90-day stoppage of Trump\u2019s 26% tariffs.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-tit-for-tat-game\"><strong>Tit for Tat Game<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Concerning which, India seeks to eliminate all extra tariffs that the Trump administration announced in April 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Duty exemption for sectors outside agriculture such as clothing, ornaments and footwear could profit India upward of $4 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In its turn, the United States wants a slash in duties for which India is a heavy-setter, mainly on tree nuts and dairy.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It also wants surtax concessions on wine, petrochemicals, some genetically modified crops and electric vehicles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What is clear is that India might not exempt dairy, to buffer its farmers who rear the biggest herd, globally.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-agriculture-fta\"><strong>Agriculture FTA<\/strong><strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Regarding the possible July 8 interim FTA for agriculture, &nbsp;both sides are not ready to exempt all products.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Delhi could possibly allow free entry to only American pecans, walnuts, Pacific Northwest\u2019s apples and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/news\/economy\/foreign-trade\/us-india-trade-deal-india-may-relent-on-gm-animal-feed-stays-firm-on-dairy-agri\/articleshow\/122234602.cms\"><u>GM feeds<\/u><\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Washington in its part might appease Delhi with leather duty exemption after much agitation for tax relief on the good.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After interim agreements, the two sides will ramp up a holistic Bilateral Trade Agreement. Its vision is to push bilateral commerce to $500 billion in 5 years, up from the reigning $191 billion.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the sidelines, some farmers\u2019 unions in India are averse to any inclusion of agriculture in free trade with the U.S.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>One such is the Samyukta Kisan Morcha (SKM) from Kerala, southern India, which feels threatened by bilateral agreements.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SKM terms these deals&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thehindu.com\/news\/national\/telangana\/indian-agriculture-should-be-kept-out-free-trade-agreement-with-us-or-other-countries-skm-leaders\/article69769591.ece\"><u>anti-farmer and anti-labor<\/u><\/a>, and has been holding pro-farmers protests, according to The Hindu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>How the looming landmark will work out and whether it will rival that&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.selinawamucii.com\/news\/2025\/05\/09\/u-s-uk-trade-deal-creates-5-billion-market-for\"><u>between India and the UK<\/u><\/a>&nbsp;in May 2025 remains unclear. The below data paints a clearer picture of the \u2018knowns\u2019 in India-U.S. trade.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-india-united-states-agriculture-and-free-trade-statistics\"><strong>India-United States Agriculture and Free Trade\u00a0Statistics\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Agricultural trade between India and the United States remains medium at a cumulative\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/full\/10.1002\/agr.22046\"><u>$7 billion<\/u><\/a>\u00a0a year, per the Wiley Online Library. This is versus\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.shankariasparliament.com\/current-affairs\/specials\/india-us-agricultural-trade\"><u>$126.9 billion<\/u><\/a>\u00a0in bilateral trade in 2023, according to India\u2019s Parliament, and a vision for\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.republicworld.com\/india\/india-us-trade-deal-agriculture-likely-to-be-exempted-from-tariffs-interim-deal-expected-by-july-8\"><u>$500 billion<\/u><\/a>\u00a0by 2030. There is no existing free trade area between the two big economies, which means reciprocal tariffs protect each country\u2019s farmers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A part of the reason for the moderate agricultural trade are high tariffs on both sides. While India has historically imposed an average<a href=\"https:\/\/onlinelibrary.wiley.com\/doi\/full\/10.1002\/agr.22046\"><u>&nbsp;39%<\/u><\/a>&nbsp;on American agri-food goods, as of 2018, its ally has generally imposed 5%. This imbalance prompted a U.S.\u2019 duty reciprocation of 26% in April 2025 before a 90-day moratorium followed.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>How&nbsp;<\/strong><strong>is the agricultural trade status between Delhi and Washington?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>India and the United States have had a tumultuous trade relationship in recent years. Trade duty disagreements over bird flu&nbsp;led to a&nbsp;September 8, 2023&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/ustr.gov\/about-us\/policy-offices\/press-office\/press-releases\/2023\/september\/united-states-announces-resolution-outstanding-wto-poultry-dispute-india\"><u>dispute resolution by the W<\/u><u>TO<\/u><\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Which American imports has India taxed hard historically?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As of 2018, India had some of the highest import duty among nations, at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.privacyshield.gov\/ps\/article?id=India-Import-Tariffs\"><u>32.8%<\/u><\/a>, above\u00a0the\u00a0World Trade Organization (WTO)\u2019s recommended\u00a030%.\u00a0\u00a0In 2018, U.S.\u2019 goods gained maximum tariffs, with chickpeas attracting\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.selinawamucii.com\/insights\/prices\/united-states-of-america\/chickpeas\/\"><u>60%<\/u><\/a>. Another hard-hit good is pecan nuts: although India conceded in April 2023 to reduce pecan import duty, it only cut it to\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fas.usda.gov\/data\/india-success-story-its-been-tough-nut-crack-india-all-pecans-tariff-reduction\"><u>30%\u00a0from\u00a0100%.<\/u><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What are the key agricultural trade commodities in India-U.S. trade? \u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While the United States exported&nbsp;<a href=\"Which American imports has India taxed hard historically?\"><u>$2.24 billion<\/u><\/a>&nbsp;worth of agricultural goods to India in 2024, India exported back $5.7 billion. In India\u2019s case, agri-food exports to the U.S. represent 11% of all agri exports by the country, as of 2024. Key goods include Basmati rice, dairy, leather and vegetable extracts. For the U.S., tree nuts, at $1.12 billion (2024), ethanol at $441.3 million (2024) and cotton lead agricultural exports to India.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Finalizing India-United States negotiations point to a possible free trade deal on select agricultural goods\u00a0by July 8, 2025.\u00a0 So far, Delhi has drawn a red line on sensitive agri goods such as dairy, which it won\u2019t concede for free.&nbsp; Meanwhile, bilateral exchanges keen on exempting certain\u00a0food produce and products\u00a0had neared a breakthrough by July 4.\u00a0&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":22522,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v16.3 (Yoast SEO v20.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>India-United States free trade deal looms on select agricultural goods - Selina Wamucii | Food &amp; 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