{"id":22515,"date":"2025-05-22T13:15:05","date_gmt":"2025-05-22T13:15:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.selinawamucii.com\/news\/?p=22515"},"modified":"2025-05-22T13:15:06","modified_gmt":"2025-05-22T13:15:06","slug":"wheat-production-in-india-nears-glut-phase-for-2025-26","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.selinawamucii.com\/news\/2025\/05\/22\/wheat-production-in-india-nears-glut-phase-for-2025-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Wheat production in India nears glut phase for 2025-26"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

India looks onto record wheat production thanks to a wet monsoon that favored grain formation, despite\u00a0recent weather vagaries<\/u><\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Official estimates for the outgoing 2024-25 marketing season (April 2024 to March 2025) are at 15.3 million tonnes<\/u><\/a>, the highest ever.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In contrast, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) on April 2, 2025 forecast the 2024-25 harvest at 113.3 million tonnes<\/u><\/a>.  The foreign agency also projected the current 2025-26 crop to reach 15 million tonnes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite these high production prospects, the removal of a trade-inhibiting 40% tax for importing wheat from India remains uncertain.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Scrapping this duty and ending a wheat export ban that has been running since 2022 could ameliorate currently robust\u00a0global wheat prices<\/u><\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wheat Procurement Timeline<\/strong><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Wheat in India grows during Rabi (autumn) after sowing in October, with the harvest in the followup February-May period. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Procurements of the crop from farmers by both the government and traders takes place  April through June.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The procured crop at the end of one harvest becomes the reserve for the next marketing year. Thus the current harvest will be the reserve for the ongoing 2025-26 marketing year, which started in April 2025.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ending April 2, 2025, the central government had domestically sourced 2 million tonnes<\/u><\/a> of the grain at the minimum support price (MSP). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

By May 19, the state\u2019s Food Corp had ramped up purchases to 29.6 million tonnes, 14% higher, year-on-year.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Governmental purchases for 2025-26 could amount to 32.5 million tonnes, above the 18.4 million tonnes of 2024-25.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Purchases by independent traders have also spurred sales in wheat mandi (wholesale markets) to 3.8 million tonnes before April 2, 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Procurement states include Punjab, Haryana and Uttar Pradesh in the north, and Gujarat and Rajasthan in the west. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

All these developments illustrate India\u2019s commitment to meeting self-sufficiency and lowering food inflation before allowing any exports. For the bigger picture, peruse below statistics on wheat production in India. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

India Wheat Production Statistics <\/strong><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

India has enjoyed an enviable run in wheat production in the past 6 decades, ending 2024. From maiden production at\u00a010.3 million tonnes<\/u><\/a> in 1960, the output had grown tenfold to 113.292 million tonnes in 2024. According to the government, the 2025 harvest would be the highest this far, at a\u00a0115.3 million-tonne<\/u><\/a>\u00a0estimate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Has <\/strong>India\u2019s wheat production <\/strong>growth been consistent i<\/strong>n<\/strong> <\/strong>6<\/strong> decades<\/strong>? <\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the foregoing 64 years ending 2024, India\u2019s wheat production has shown annual negative growth only 17 times. This means that the yearly output has enjoyed relative stability, with a setback every 1 in 4 years. The period\u2019s highest production growth took place in 1968 at 45.18%<\/u><\/a> while the lowest in 1966 at -15.21%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I<\/strong>s <\/strong>wheat msp<\/strong> tied to production costs in India<\/strong>?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In February 2025, the government raised the wheat Minimum Support Price (MSP) to 2,425 rupees<\/u><\/a> ($2,830) a quintal. A 6.59% rise year-on-year, the increase reflected rising production costs, land rental rates and others. In a snapshot, India\u2019s government pays a wheat MSP based on input, labor and rental costs and adds 50%<\/u><\/a> kickback. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

India looks onto record wheat production thanks to a wet monsoon that favored grain formation, despite\u00a0recent weather vagaries.\u00a0 Official estimates for the outgoing 2024-25 marketing season (April 2024 to March 2025) are at 15.3 million tonnes, the highest ever. In contrast, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) on April 2, 2025 forecast the 2024-25 harvest at 113.3…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":18204,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[2],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nWheat production in India nears glut phase for 2025-26 - Selina Wamucii | Food & Agriculture News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.selinawamucii.com\/news\/2025\/05\/22\/wheat-production-in-india-nears-glut-phase-for-2025-26\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Wheat production in India nears glut phase for 2025-26 - Selina Wamucii | Food & Agriculture News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"India looks onto record wheat production thanks to a wet monsoon that favored grain formation, despite\u00a0recent weather vagaries.\u00a0 Official estimates for the outgoing 2024-25 marketing season (April 2024 to March 2025) are at 15.3 million tonnes, the highest ever. 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